The Numbers.
We publish every hit rate. No cherry-picking, no hidden windows. If our model is cold, you'll see it here first.
Schedule · ESPN
No games right now.
Check back soon — the next matchup will appear here.
SGG Model vs the Vig
Our 2-, 3-, 4-, and 5-leg parlays vs the industry break-even (0.524N · -110)
Player-submitted, built on SGG. Every slip is assembled by a real user in the SGG parlay builder and finalized before tipoff — no shadow bets, no hindsight. Buckets with fewer than five graded slips show as “not enough data”.
| Legs | Benchmark | 7d | 30d | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-leg | 27.5% | — | 0.0%(1 slip) | 35.0%(163 slips) |
| 3-leg | 14.4% | — | 0.0%(1 slip) | 20.3%(182 slips) |
| 4-leg | 7.5% | — | 0.0%(2 slips) | 12.5%(112 slips) |
| 5-leg | 3.9% | — | 0.0%(2 slips) | 6.9%(202 slips) |
Leg Win Rate
vs. industry break-even (52.4% · -110 juice)
Leg Win % · 984 legs graded
Last 7 Days
Last 30 Days
Season
industry reference
Industry Break-Even
reference (-110)
Platform Performance
Your player-submitted slips by platform & leg count · Season to date · vs industry break-even
No graded slips in this window yet. Check back after tonight's slate.
How to read this page
Hit rate is graded parlays won ÷ total graded parlays, not clicks or impressions. A parlay counts only after all legs settle. Historical windows update in real time as new games grade. Model trends dashboard for admins is at /admin/model-trends.